Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.067168 0.075696 0.084461 0.094111 0.104409 0.115041 0.126819
2025-05-11 0.051610 0.064037 0.077520 0.093091 0.110444 0.129064 0.150427
2025-05-18 0.043282 0.058201 0.075111 0.095368 0.118666 0.144340 0.174497
2025-05-25 0.037016 0.053548 0.073026 0.097088 0.125477 0.157423 0.195623
2025-06-01 0.030154 0.047183 0.068073 0.094685 0.126864 0.163794 0.208681
2025-06-08 0.024704 0.041859 0.063759 0.092479 0.127996 0.169472 0.220608
2025-06-15 0.022001 0.039795 0.063245 0.094689 0.134232 0.181003 0.239258
2025-06-22 0.019277 0.037355 0.061969 0.095713 0.138846 0.190485 0.255423
2025-06-29 0.018018 0.036857 0.063158 0.099816 0.147232 0.204498 0.277004
2025-07-06 0.015783 0.034626 0.061781 0.100406 0.151085 0.212928 0.291860
2025-07-13 0.015966 0.036157 0.065671 0.108023 0.163933 0.232460 0.320217
2025-07-20 0.013287 0.032778 0.062350 0.105758 0.163957 0.236075 0.329205
2025-07-27 0.012089 0.031867 0.062727 0.108780 0.171213 0.249177 0.350443
2025-08-03 0.010036 0.029203 0.060351 0.107921 0.173395 0.256017 0.364171
2025-08-10 0.008985 0.028217 0.060431 0.110461 0.180064 0.268538 0.384977
2025-08-17 0.007927 0.027045 0.060112 0.112351 0.185819 0.279886 0.404346
2025-08-24 0.006206 0.024175 0.056822 0.109724 0.185297 0.283071 0.413411
2025-08-31 0.004795 0.021620 0.053808 0.107309 0.184917 0.286329 0.422492
2025-09-07 0.004258 0.021006 0.054034 0.109729 0.191210 0.298269 0.442574
2025-09-14 0.003618 0.019979 0.053448 0.110850 0.195658 0.307789 0.459604
2025-09-21 0.003439 0.020164 0.055030 0.115336 0.204870 0.323617 0.484738
2025-09-28 0.002862 0.019067 0.054188 0.115980 0.208615 0.332222 0.500656
2025-10-05 0.003113 0.020532 0.058165 0.124290 0.223347 0.355463 0.535432